Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.006080 0.006771 0.007523 0.008403 0.009409 0.010526 0.011864
2025-06-08 0.004814 0.005720 0.006784 0.008136 0.009822 0.011872 0.014579
2025-06-15 0.004214 0.005226 0.006477 0.008159 0.010386 0.013276 0.017377
2025-06-22 0.003894 0.005001 0.006431 0.008444 0.011253 0.015111 0.020944
2025-06-29 0.003492 0.004610 0.006104 0.008286 0.011465 0.016038 0.023334
2025-07-06 0.003161 0.004273 0.005803 0.008112 0.011603 0.016841 0.025615
2025-07-13 0.002934 0.004053 0.005636 0.008099 0.011958 0.017985 0.028573
2025-07-20 0.002798 0.003949 0.005619 0.008298 0.012646 0.019719 0.032762
2025-07-27 0.002612 0.003753 0.005445 0.008231 0.012891 0.020744 0.035859
2025-08-03 0.002464 0.003600 0.005321 0.008226 0.013229 0.021955 0.039477
2025-08-10 0.002312 0.003428 0.005153 0.008129 0.013392 0.022865 0.042652
2025-08-17 0.002205 0.003319 0.005074 0.008170 0.013797 0.024257 0.047025
2025-08-24 0.002074 0.003169 0.004926 0.008094 0.014011 0.025378 0.051178
2025-08-31 0.001919 0.002970 0.004683 0.007833 0.013857 0.025770 0.053849
2025-09-07 0.001830 0.002872 0.004602 0.007854 0.014244 0.027306 0.059465
2025-09-14 0.001791 0.002854 0.004656 0.008127 0.015156 0.030078 0.068711
2025-09-21 0.001687 0.002720 0.004496 0.007976 0.015185 0.030925 0.073248
2025-09-28 0.001590 0.002591 0.004335 0.007810 0.015161 0.031646 0.077618
2025-10-05 0.001523 0.002510 0.004256 0.007797 0.015465 0.033175 0.084619
2025-10-12 0.001489 0.002485 0.004277 0.007988 0.016237 0.035950 0.096019
2025-10-19 0.001424 0.002400 0.004179 0.007924 0.016424 0.037299 0.103416
2025-10-26 0.001371 0.002334 0.004112 0.007919 0.016748 0.039051 0.112620
2025-11-02 0.001311 0.002252 0.004009 0.007826 0.016851 0.040231 0.120244